Sunday, November 25, 2012

New York Mets Season 21 Outlook

Season 20
Won/Loss (place in division) & Playoffs:  102-60 (1st); lost in 2nd round to Pittsburgh
Offense:  700 runs (10th)
Pitching:  3.14 ERA (1st)

Major Changes
FA Departures:  SP Jumbo Mateo, SP Stewart Winn, 3B Santiago Vazquez

FA Signees:  RP David Espinosa, LR Eddie Foxx,  3B Davey Flores, OF Sterling Adams, 1B Pete Weaver, C Collin Womack

Season 21 OutlookThe Mets went out and got their guy.  Even with Russell Swann's MVP year, New York's attack was sub-par last season.  3-time MVP Adams is just what they need.  They also need (and can expect) a return to form by Fernando Johnson, whose OPS fell 150 points from Season 19 and was 50 off his career average.

They also had to replace the back 2/5ths of the rotation, and did so capably with Felix Tyner and Douglas Ritz.  The front 3 of Contreras, Watson and Jordan is 2nd to none.

The bullpen is the best in the game.  5-time FOY Ramiro Goya closesFrank Martin and Richie Lloyd are good enough to close.  David Espinosa, the Pirates' bullpen savior last year, is going to have trouble getting work here.

Are the Mets old? 


They will get old when Luis Contreras gets old.  His makeup rating is 92, New York maxes its training budget and their pitching coach has an 89 pitching IQ.  Contreras will still be going strong at 38.

I think the division tightens up more this year, and the Mets still win it in a close race with the Pirates and Nats.

No comments: